Flood risk index assessment in Johor river basin [Penilaian indeks risiko banjir di lembangan sungai Johor]

Azman, Azid and Hafizan, Juahir and Ahmad Shakir, Mohd Saudi (2015) Flood risk index assessment in Johor river basin [Penilaian indeks risiko banjir di lembangan sungai Johor]. Malaysian Journal of Analytical Sciences, 19 (5). pp. 991-1000. ISSN 13942506

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Abstract

This study is focusing on constructing the flood risk index in the Johor river basin. The application of statistical methods such as factor analysis (FA), statistical process control (SPC) and artificial neural network (ANN) had revealed the most efficient flood risk index. The result in FA was water level has correlation coefficient of 0.738 and the most practicable variable to be used for the warning alert system. The upper control limits (UCL) for the water level in the river basin Johor is 4.423m and the risk index for the water level has been set by this method consisting of 0-100.The accuracy of prediction has been evaluated by using ANN and the accuracy of the test result was R2 = 0.96408 with RMSE= 2.5736. The future prediction for UCL in Johor river basin has been predicted and the value was 3.75m. This model can shows the current and future prediction for flood risk index in the Johor river basin and can help local authorities for flood control and prevention of the state of Johor.

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